Alright, I've done some further investigation (read: squishing eyelets with my face a few inches away), and I think I have a better idea of the failure mode.
Conclusions before the details: Both the custom tool and the keystone tool don't have optimally-sized center cones to flair the eyelet sufficiently, at least not without very precise placement but maybe not even then. The result is that part of the eyelet tube won't be quite flared enough by the time it contacts the flat part of the tool meant to roll over the flare, and it will deform similar to how the eyelet would if you just squished it between two flat surfaces. Now on to my test procedures.
My test setup is that I take either the new cambion punch or the keystone 1715 punch and set them pointy-end-up on my arbor press. I then set an eyelet on the tip of the tool, shank down and pre-rolled end up. The idea is that I'm flipping the swaging process upside down so that instead of putting the eyelet against a flat surface and driving the punch down on it I'm putting the punch against a flat surface and driving the eyelet down onto it. As long as everything is secure (read: gravity doesn't mess with things, things don't buckle) I figure the upside down version is equivalent to the right-side up version. The advantage of having it upside down is that I can easily see how the eyelet is deforming against the tool.
Ok, here are the tests I did:
Tools used are a Dake Model Y arbor press, a Harbor freight 1/4" transfer center punch, keystone 1715, and the custom version of the 1715 I had made for the cambion press. Eyelets are keystone 44, which have a shank diameter of around 0.121" if I recall.
Test 1: I setup the custom tool upside down in the arbor press with the eyelet as described, lowered the press until it touched the eyelet, made as sure as I could that the eyelet was square to the ram face, and then eased down the ram. Most of the circumference of the eyelet rolled, but one part looked like it first moved out, then rolled. That part had the defect seen in pictures above where the edge of the eyelet roll is folded back on itself.
Test 2: Same thing as above but with the 1715 tool. Same results.
Test 3: Same as test 1, but I first flared the eyelet shank with the 1/4" center punch. Not to the full width of the punch, but just until it looked flared to some degree all away around the eyelet. This time when pressing, there was first a short portion of low resistance while the flared edge of the eyelet flattened against the bottom of the punch, and then an extended portion of higher resistance until the process was done. The roll turned out well.
Test 4: Same as test 3, but with the 1715 tool. Same results, except since the 1715 doesn't have a pronounced flat spot the resistance was constant through the whole process. Roll turned out well.
I did each of the above tests a few times to make sure I could get consistent results, and I did get highly consistent results.
Test 5: I placed an eyelet on the table of the arbor press shank-down, and brought the ram straight down on it. No punch involved at all. I applied pressure just until I felt it give a little, then checked the eyelet. The eyelet shank deformed so that it was oblong, and the edges started to roll
inwards. Picture below.
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attachment=217]
Test 5 was performed after I recalled what the eyelets that I squished in the press for fun looked like. Oblong. The same way the eyelets with defects seemed to have part of their walls go oblong before finally rolling outwards.
Some other observations:
When I flared the eyelets with the center punch before setting them down on the roll punch for tests 3 and 4, the eyelets once on the punch did not touch the center cone, or if so only just.
When flaring with the center punch, it was possible to flare
too much and cause the eyelet to split. So I had to be careful with the press and not over do things.
The conclusions, or at least running hypothesis I have now after these tests:
Eyelet walls deform oblong and roll inwards when compressed between two flat surfaces.
With both tools, the eyelets undergo some of this oblong deformation with (my) standard use.
The oblong deformation points correspond to the defect points of the eyelet.
If the eyelet walls were flared more or more evenly before reaching the bottom of the punches, they'd cleanly roll outwards instead of deforming into the oblong shape and gaining the defect.
A taller (wider?) center cone in each punch would flare the eyelets more and if the dimensions were right result in a clean roll every time.
I'm interested to hear what the rest of you think about all this. It seems like I'm the only person who's dealt with this, so I'm wondering if there is something else in my setup I haven't found yet that is the source of the issues. I'd think that if the Keystone tool was the issue they'd have changed it, or there'd be more chatter on the internet about it, so I'm doubtful of my conclusions.
Based on my experiments so far though, I'm thinking about going back to the machine shop and requesting that they slightly modify the end of the custom tool so that the cone runs a little deeper and wider into the face. There is space for that on the tool, so hopefully it just takes a few more minutes on the lathe to remove the material.
That's all for now, thanks in advance to anyone who provides feedback!